The second idea I’m going to pick out from The Singularity is Kurzweil’s prediction that by 2025 personal computers (I think costing less than $1,000 in today’s money) will have the power of the human brain.
The first component to this prediction is an assessment of the computational power of the human brain. Kurzweil looks at a number of different ways to think about this question and they all yield estimates in the range of 10(exp 14) to 10(exp 15) calculations per second (henceforth cps) – that is one hundred million trillion cps to one billion trillion cps.
Today’s personal computers, or at least those back in 2005 when The Singularity was published provided 10(exp 9) cps and an extrapolation historical increases in computing power going forward yields the prediction that personal computers will have a capacity of 10(exp 16) cps by 2025.
Kurzweil goes on to add substance to this prediction by discussing the technologies that will yield the increase in computing performance that he is predicting.
To read the full, original article click on this link: Kurzweil predicts personal computers with the power of the human brain by 2025 | The Equity Kicker
Author: Nic Brisbourne
