I've been pretty clear as of late that I think the market for investing in web startups is getting overheated. When I talk to some people about this, they say "you should shut down and ride out the bubble on the beach." To which I say "we don't think we can time markets."
If you had a crystal ball, then doubling down when the market is ice cold and folding your hand when the market is white hot would be a great investment strategy. But nobody has a crystal ball and timing markets is a lot harder than it seems.
So I prefer to focus on pacing ourselves. What I like to say is "we should add the same number of names each year to our portfolio and put out about the same amount of cash each year." The number we try to add each year is 6-8 new portfolio companies. USV has been investing since November 2004 so we've been in business exactly six years. And we will have 37 portfolio companies soon. So that is almost exactly 6 new investments per year. We had 31 portfolio companies at year end 2009, so we've added 6 new names this year.
To read the full, original article click on this link: A VC: Pacing Yourself
Author: Fred Wilson