Understanding where we may be in an investment cycle is difficult but worth the effort. Trying to time an investment cycle, however, is nearly impossible. For early stage investing, in particular, there are some important points to consider when thinking about the investment cycle.
Timing a moving target
While markets move up and down, each cycle is different. In particular, people are usually responding to what happened in the previous cycle. This includes both market participants, who tend to overweight recent events, and the regulators, who make rules to deal with the problems of the previous cycle.
